Economics and Business Review

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e-ISSN 2450-0097

Poznań University of Economics - Poland

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Volume 4 (18) Number 1 pp. 3-15

Frédéric Docquier

FNRS and IRES Université catholique de Louvain,Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgique

Long-term trends in international migration: lessons from macroeconomic model

Abstract:

In this paper I develop a stylized model of the world economy and use it to
explain the long-run trends in international migration. The model very well fits the
trends of the last 40 years which are mainly governed by the evolution of population
disparities between industrialized and developing countries. Then I provide migration
projections for the 21st century and show that future migration is also governed
by socio-demographic changes. I predict a robust increase in immigration pressures
from sub-Saharan Africa and MENA countries to European countries.

pub/2018_1_3.pdf Full text available in in Adobe Acrobat format:
http://www.ebr.edu.pl/volume18/issue1/2018_1_3.pdf
Keywords: international migration, projections, world economy, inequality

DOI: 10.18559/ebr.2018.1.1

For citation:

MLA Docquier, Frédéric. "Long-term trends in international migration: lessons from macroeconomic model." Economics and Business Review EBR 18.1 (2018): 3-15. DOI: 10.18559/ebr.2018.1.1
APA Docquier, F. (2018). Long-term trends in international migration: lessons from macroeconomic model. Economics and Business Review EBR 18(1), 3-15 DOI: 10.18559/ebr.2018.1.1
ISO 690 DOCQUIER, Frédéric. Long-term trends in international migration: lessons from macroeconomic model. Economics and Business Review EBR, 2018, 18.1: 3-15. DOI: 10.18559/ebr.2018.1.1